report | Jan 30, 2019

Data and methodology

This is the data and methodology behind the data essay, “An early look at the 2020 electorate.” Estimates for 2000-2016 are from Census Bureau microdata provided through IPUMS-USA. In 2000, the decennial census 5% sample was used. In all other years (2008, 2012 and 2016), the 1-year American Community Survey sample was used. Projections for […]

report | Jan 30, 2019

An early look at the 2020 electorate

The 2020 U.S. presidential election is rapidly coming into view – and so is the electorate that will determine its outcome. While demographic changes unfold slowly, it’s already clear that the 2020 electorate will be unique in several ways. Nonwhites will account for a third of eligible voters – their largest share ever – driven […]

report | Jan 30, 2019

An early look at the 2020 electorate

The 2020 U.S. presidential election is rapidly coming into view – and so is the electorate that will determine its outcome. While demographic changes unfold slowly, it’s already clear that the 2020 electorate will be unique in several ways. Nonwhites will account for a third of eligible voters – their largest share ever – driven […]

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