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Home Research Topics Politics & Policy U.S. Elections & Voters Voters & Voting Voter Participation
Pew Research CenterFebruary 5, 2018
Use of election forecasts in campaign coverage can confuse voters and may lower turnout

Probabilistic forecasts create impression of more decisive electoral victory

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Probabilistic forecasts create impression of more decisive electoral victory

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Use of election forecasts in campaign coverage can confuse voters and may lower turnout
Probabilistic forecasts create impression of more decisive electoral victory
Very high or low probabilistic forecasts decrease voting in behavioral economic game

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